So, based on the first 302 respondents to the General Election 2005 Estimation Quiz who have expressed a voting intention, here are the results so far:
These results should be taken with a pinch of salt, because of the very small sample size and the self-selecting nature of the sample. But, that aside, we discover that:
- Conservative supporters (all 34 of them) are the best informed of all (must be the expensive schools they all go to, I suppose);
- Lib Dems are, by a small margin, the worst informed -- but, on the internets at least, the most numerous;
- Labour supporters are slightly better-informed than average.
(In the plot above, I've obtained the `all respondents' curve by weighting each party's supporters to reflect the average of recent opinion polls; I won't claim that that's likely to be a very effective way to produce a balanced sample of the population.)
Still, at this stage the numbers playing are far too small to make any very accurate claims about the population at large. So come on, people! Do your teams proud!